Glossary · SaaS metrics

What is customer lifetime value (LTV)?

Customer lifetime value (LTV or CLV) is the total revenue — or, more usefully, gross profit — a business can expect from a single customer over the whole time they remain a customer.

Also called: LTV, CLV, CLTV, Lifetime value

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How is LTV calculated?

Simple SaaS LTV = ARPU × gross margin ÷ monthly churn rate
Average customer lifetime (months) ≈ 1 ÷ monthly churn rate

The simple formula assumes constant churn and ARPU. It's a good first estimate for a subscription business; more precise models use cohort retention curves and expansion revenue. Using gross margin instead of revenue matters: LTV should reflect what you can spend to acquire customers, and you can only spend profit.

LTV example

ARPU is $40/month, gross margin 80%, monthly churn 3%. LTV = 40 × 0.8 ÷ 0.03 ≈ $1,067. Average lifetime ≈ 33 months. If you reduce churn to 2%, LTV becomes $1,600 — a 50% increase from one point of churn. Try your own numbers in the LTV calculator.

Why LTV matters

LTV is the ceiling on what you can pay to win a customer. Compared with CAC, it tells you whether growth creates value or burns it — see LTV:CAC ratio. Measured by acquisition channel, it shows which sources bring customers who stay.

Common LTV pitfalls

  • Very low churn makes LTV explode. 0.5% monthly churn implies a 16-year lifetime; cap the horizon (e.g. 3–5 years) for decisions.
  • Young companies don't have the data. A few months of churn history can't predict multi-year lifetimes.
  • Revenue instead of margin overstates what you can afford.
  • One LTV for everyone. Annual plans, monthly plans and channels behave differently.

LTV and VisitTrack

VisitTrack doesn't model LTV, but it supplies the per-channel input most LTV calculations lack: each payment is attributed to the visitor's first-touch source, refunds are subtracted, and paying visitors' profiles show their full payment history. Summing revenue per customer by acquisition channel over time gives a channel-level LTV you can compare to channel CAC. See revenue attribution.

Frequently asked questions

How do you calculate customer lifetime value for SaaS?

A common estimate is ARPU times gross margin divided by monthly churn. For example, $50 ARPU, 80% margin and 4% churn give an LTV of $1,000.

Should LTV use revenue or profit?

Gross profit is better for decisions, because LTV is usually compared with acquisition cost and you can only spend the margin you earn. Revenue-based LTV is fine for rough comparisons if you say so.

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